Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 44.913921 51.623807 58.607729 66.387910 74.782065 83.536661 93.328196
2024-10-27 33.357035 42.523936 52.644571 64.513920 77.924764 92.489919 109.388115
2024-11-03 28.987814 39.778432 52.185145 67.231157 84.725283 104.189053 127.250214
2024-11-10 25.282833 37.134914 51.268710 68.911699 89.920986 113.756622 142.470604
2024-11-17 21.120184 33.348706 48.494311 67.953099 91.665486 119.067346 152.587083
2024-11-24 17.709270 30.077018 45.974919 66.963203 93.085385 123.772513 161.818841
2024-12-01 15.322574 27.867624 44.551473 67.112470 95.706300 129.765048 172.463863
2024-12-08 13.318932 25.943660 43.301159 67.311590 98.255945 135.579083 182.837249
2024-12-15 11.754707 24.466501 42.500584 67.969261 101.287311 141.918188 193.809620
2024-12-22 9.935319 22.372765 40.669221 67.114409 102.280189 145.675301 201.606919
2024-12-29 8.929096 21.444270 40.395172 68.281382 105.825068 152.565577 213.217361
2025-01-05 8.090509 20.688845 40.298361 69.637111 109.584362 159.714351 225.157797
2025-01-12 6.804858 19.007585 38.731156 68.898868 110.582758 163.429695 232.951791
2025-01-19 5.438628 16.956286 36.434951 66.997849 109.934325 164.991605 238.035377
2025-01-26 5.172380 16.988783 37.393683 69.776895 115.603107 174.656231 253.286042
2025-02-02 4.732182 16.604309 37.642705 71.497020 119.825629 182.470072 266.241000
2025-02-09 3.881470 15.202643 36.119443 70.516036 120.283838 185.372801 272.979573
2025-02-16 3.144344 13.890738 34.634423 69.502959 120.630536 188.084609 279.447592
2025-02-23 2.664084 13.082048 33.948364 69.655730 122.574340 192.875097 288.564522
2025-03-02 2.249930 12.342713 33.323709 69.859521 124.562978 197.713381 297.746248
2025-03-09 1.937570 11.803146 33.017162 70.532583 127.205013 203.418126 308.055576
2025-03-16 1.516193 10.807599 31.776564 69.657714 127.579598 206.068206 314.405834
2025-03-23 1.330696 10.502405 31.829123 70.851988 130.947292 212.744228 325.998575